A Home Buying Strategy: Thinking in Bets

March 21, 2023

Buying a home is one of the most significant financial decisions you will make in your lifetime. Former professional poker player turned decision strategist, Annie Duke, has developed a home buying strategy: Thinking in Bets. With so much at stake, making the right choice is crucial. But with so many variables involved, how can you be sure you’re making the best decision? Annie Duke’s new book addresses decision making without all the facts.

Smarter Decisions When You Don’t Have All the Facts

In the book Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don’t Have All the Facts involves approaching decisions like poker bets rather than certainties. We need to acknowledge that uncertainty is involved in the outcome of all decisions and to consider all the variables that could impact that decision. When applied to the home-buying process, this means considering all the factors that could affect your decision,

Factors Impacting the Home Buying

From the historic perspective, there are many factors impacting the home buying process such as interest rates, property values, and personal circumstances. However, there are new critical factors discussed in Thinking in Bets to be considered:

Value of Information

When buying a home, this means weighing the cost of obtaining information, such as a home inspection, against its potential impact on the outcome. For example, if the inspection reveals a serious issue with the property, it may affect your decision to proceed with the purchase. On the other hand, if the inspection comes back clear, it may give you more confidence in your decision.

Avoid Common Biases

It is easy to fall into the trap of anchoring. What’s anchoring? Anchoring is where you become fixated on a specific price or feature and ignore other important factors. When buying a home, it’s essential to keep an open mind and consider all the options available to you to avoid similar biases.

Emotional Decision Making

The emotional impact of decision-making should not be underestimated. When buying a home, it’s natural to become attached to a property or to feel pressure to close the deal quickly. The principles of Thinking in Bets can help you manage these emotions and make a more informed decision.

Thinking in Bets is a Helpful Home Buying Strategy

In conclusion, the principles in Thinking in Bets are a helpful home buying tool. By approaching the decision as a bet, considering the value of information, avoiding biases, and managing emotions, you can increase your chances of making the right choice and finding your dream home.


At Revival Lending, we are Certified Mortgage Advisors. We will work to design a customized loan solution to facilitate your goals. We want to earn your business over a lifetime, not just through a one-time transaction. Therefore, we promise to take the time to truly understand your goals and help you map out a plan to use your mortgage and home to reach them. Set up an appointment with us today. I promise you will not be disappointed. Call 714-257-5284 or email us to schedule a complimentary mortgage review today.

comments +

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *